This photo by Darrell Hoemann is just one instance from last night's game where a lightning fast Dayton player blew by an Illini defender and got to the basket for a layup or dunk.
Dayton's team is 10-11 guys who can run the floor and explode to the basket. With that mind, if they're also hitting their outside shots - as they were last night - and your team is missing its outside shots - as the Illini were last night - your team is definitely going to lose.
So much for my grand plans to drink 15 beers and watch the Illini play at MSG next Tuesday.
Now I'll have to find somewhere else to drink 15 beers.
Thursday, March 25, 2010
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Scouting The Dayton Flyers
Everyone knows that the coolest thing about Dayton, Ohio is the U.S. Air Force Museum at Wright Patterson Air Force Base. My Dad and I went there about 8 years ago and I can tell you that it is choice.
Of course Dayton also has a university - the University of Dayton - which, year-to-year, has a solid basketball program. The Flyers finished 22-12, 8-8 on the season and, like the Illini, were sitting on the NCAA tournament bubble come selection time.
Also like the Illini, the Flyers were shoved off to the NIT where, tonight, they will travel to Champaign for an NIT Quarterfinal matchup against Bruce Weber and the Boys.
So what do we need to know about the Flyers?
A few things jump out at me as I peruse their season peformance:
- Dayton has played a handful of good teams - Villanova, Kansas St., New Mexico - and though they lost those three games, they did manage victories over tournament teams Georgia Tech, Lehigh, Old Dominion, and a big 25-point win at home over Sweet 16 entrant Xavier. Bottom line: the Flyers aren't going to be intimidated by the Illini.
- Dayton, like Illinois, entered the season ranked in the Top 25. They failed to live up to those pre-season expectations, but have won their two NIT games by an average of 18 points. They're playing good basketball.
- Dayton likes to run and their leading scorer, forward Chris Wright, was an All-Atlantic 10 selection. He gets about 7 rebounds a game. Look for the Flyers to try to outmuscle the Illini on the boards and get points in transition.
As for the Illini, tonight's game is, surprising to say, big. Illini fans would be hard pressed to stomach another loss at Assembly Hall, and it would be outstanding experience for Brandon Paul, D.J. Richardson and Tyler Griffey - three freshmen who figure large in the Illini plans for the next three years - to get some playing time at Madison Square Garden. It's also another opportunity for the juniors - Demetri, Tisdale, Davis and Cole - to show they can lead the team to tournament-style wins.
I'm way more excited about this game than I thought I'd be.
Of course Dayton also has a university - the University of Dayton - which, year-to-year, has a solid basketball program. The Flyers finished 22-12, 8-8 on the season and, like the Illini, were sitting on the NCAA tournament bubble come selection time.
Also like the Illini, the Flyers were shoved off to the NIT where, tonight, they will travel to Champaign for an NIT Quarterfinal matchup against Bruce Weber and the Boys.
So what do we need to know about the Flyers?
A few things jump out at me as I peruse their season peformance:
- Dayton has played a handful of good teams - Villanova, Kansas St., New Mexico - and though they lost those three games, they did manage victories over tournament teams Georgia Tech, Lehigh, Old Dominion, and a big 25-point win at home over Sweet 16 entrant Xavier. Bottom line: the Flyers aren't going to be intimidated by the Illini.
- Dayton, like Illinois, entered the season ranked in the Top 25. They failed to live up to those pre-season expectations, but have won their two NIT games by an average of 18 points. They're playing good basketball.
- Dayton likes to run and their leading scorer, forward Chris Wright, was an All-Atlantic 10 selection. He gets about 7 rebounds a game. Look for the Flyers to try to outmuscle the Illini on the boards and get points in transition.
As for the Illini, tonight's game is, surprising to say, big. Illini fans would be hard pressed to stomach another loss at Assembly Hall, and it would be outstanding experience for Brandon Paul, D.J. Richardson and Tyler Griffey - three freshmen who figure large in the Illini plans for the next three years - to get some playing time at Madison Square Garden. It's also another opportunity for the juniors - Demetri, Tisdale, Davis and Cole - to show they can lead the team to tournament-style wins.
I'm way more excited about this game than I thought I'd be.
Monday, March 22, 2010
Sunday, March 21, 2010
A Visit To Stony Brook
A plush benefit of the Illini not making the NCAA Tournament was that, by odd circumstance, they played a road NIT game at Stony Brook University on Long Island.
Stony Brook is about an hour and 45 minute train ride from Manhattan. I made it out there a few minutes after tip-off. My friend Jeff and I had tickets in the front row. Unfortunately, Stony Brook had double-sold some seats, and someone was already sitting in our spot. We managed to move around the packed arena and eventually grabbed some seats on the other side of the court.
It was a crazy fun atmosphere, made all the better by the Illini victory.
This was our view as we stood along the sideline in the first half. Demetri McCamey had just drained a three here.
Another good shot of our first-half vantage point. Stony Brook hung tough throughout the game, running a steady halfcourt offense.
I believe that's Brandon Paul setting up a free throw shot.
The old-school scoreboard hanging from the rafters.
For a few minutes we sat a few feet behind the ESPNU announcing crew. I didn't recognize any of them.
For a few minutes we sat a few feet behind the ESPNU announcing crew. I didn't recognize any of them.
The Stony Brook mascot is a wolf. Considering their team name is the Seawolves, I thought the wolf should be wearing some kind of Navy uniform. But he wasn't.
We had a great view of the Illini as they walked out of the locker room for the second half.
This is during halftime warm ups.
Bruce Weber walked right past us on his way out for the second half.
This was our view for the second half. The Stony Brook cheerleaders and dance team got a major work out during the game. They danced at every time stoppage.
Weber doling out some instructions during a timeout.
And there you have it. The Illini held on to win a competitive game 76-66 over a frisky Stony Brook squad.
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Chaz Whitehurst No Longer A Bolt
A.J. Smith got it dun again today, trading third-string QB Charlie Whitehurst to the Seahawks in exchange for the 'Hawks' 2011 third-round draft pick. The trade also included a swap of the teams' second round picks in this year's draft, with the Bolts moving up 20 spots to the 40th pick in the second round.
That's a nice haul for a third-string QB.
As has been reported, this is likely a win for all parties involved. The Bolts get some return for a player who likely was never going to see the field. The Seahawks get a quality backup and potential starter in the well-regarded Whitehurst. And, perhaps most of all, Charlie gets some nice caysh and a very good shot at legit playing time with the oft-injured Matt Hasselback the only thing in his way.
Of course the Bolts now have the difficult task of finding someone to replace Charlie as the handsome, rakish third-string QB that never gets his uniform dirty and looks good in a beard and a headset.
Here's hoping its not Tim Tebow.
That's a nice haul for a third-string QB.
As has been reported, this is likely a win for all parties involved. The Bolts get some return for a player who likely was never going to see the field. The Seahawks get a quality backup and potential starter in the well-regarded Whitehurst. And, perhaps most of all, Charlie gets some nice caysh and a very good shot at legit playing time with the oft-injured Matt Hasselback the only thing in his way.
Of course the Bolts now have the difficult task of finding someone to replace Charlie as the handsome, rakish third-string QB that never gets his uniform dirty and looks good in a beard and a headset.
Here's hoping its not Tim Tebow.
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
I Bet Bill Murray Wept
Considering how great a sports fan he is, particularly of the Cubs and the Illini, I bet Bill Murray wept tears of sadness Sunday evening when it was announced the Illini failed to make the NCAA Tournament.
As always, I think a quote from Murray's character in Groundhog Day, Pittsburgh weatherman Phil Connors, captures what most Illini fans are feeling right now.
Phil: You want a prediction about the weather, you're asking the wrong Phil. I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey, and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life.
Yep. That about sums it up.
As always, I think a quote from Murray's character in Groundhog Day, Pittsburgh weatherman Phil Connors, captures what most Illini fans are feeling right now.
Phil: You want a prediction about the weather, you're asking the wrong Phil. I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey, and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life.
Yep. That about sums it up.
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Illini Bubble Watch: Selection Sunday
This photo makes me a feel a little better but I'm still hurting after yesterday's college hoops debacle.
I don't think we could have scripted a worse day for bubble teams and, specifically, the Illini.
Horrendous start to the day when Houston upset UTEP in the Conference USA final. Boom. One tourney spot gone.
Then the Illini took the floor against Ohio St. and led by 11 points midway through the second half. A few minutes later, however, the Illini were down by 9 points. I wouldn't believe that was possible if I hadn't watched every painstaking second of the 2o-point turnaround. Adding to the misery, the Illini had the ball and a chance to win the game at the end of regulation and at the end of the first overtime. Both times they couldn't get a shot off. Killer.
The rest of the day just continued the dagger tossing. Minnesota crushed Purdue, San Diego St. beat UNLV, Mississippi St. beat Vandy, Washington beat Cal and, as a final insult, New Mexico St. upset a 27-win Utah St. squad.
I'm gonna have scars from all these stab wounds.
So where do things stand?
According to Lunardi the Illini are the second team out, behind Mississippi St. The last two teams in are Virginia Tech and Minnesota. Obviously both Minny and Miss. St. could secure the final two berths if they win the Big Ten and SEC conference tournaments, respectively, this afternoon. The only chance the Illini have is if one or, better, both those teams lose today.
The Illini are better than both Minny and Mississippi St., and for that matter, Virginia Tech. But the selection committee won't have a chance to even balance the Illini's resume against these teams if the Golden Gophers and Bulldogs take care of business today.
Those two games are absurdly important.
If you care about the Illini, root HEAVY for Ohio St. and Kentucky.
Games on.
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Illini Bubble Watch: Day 4
First, a recap of yesterday's games …
Well, the Illini got it dun despite an absurd three-point barrage by the Badgers in the final minute. Not fun, but it's a W in the books, and that's what matters. The question is will that dubya be enough to get the Illini into the dance. I'm not so sure. There was some disappointing bubble action last night.
Perhaps most distressing was S.D. St's win over the Lobos. Lunardi now has the Aztecs in as a "lock," which tells me that if both the Illini and Aztecs lose today, S.D. St. will get the call before Illinois. Not good. Of course it also means the Aztecs are still in the hunt for an automatic bid if they beat UNLV tonight. Again, not good.
Also disappointing yesterday: RIU over SLU, Ga. Tech over Maryland, Miss. St. over Florida, N.C. St. over Florida St., and Washington over Stanford. Also, Miami beat Va. Tech which, depending on how far the Hurricanes take their run, could be a disaster, or not a bad thing.
Man. This is going down to the wire.
On to today's games …
Big Ten Semis
- Illini over Ohio St.: I think the Illini are a "lock" if they beat the Buckeyes, even if only 1 at-large bid is left on Sunday. If they don't get it dun - and that's likely because Ohio St. is a tough matchup for Illinois - then the Illini may still need help. So stressful.
- Purdue over Minnesota: Goodness gracious this game is huge. Lunardi has the Golden Gophers as his first team out. If they win today and the Illini lose, they may jump ahead of the Illini in the eyes of the selection committee.
Conference USA Final
- UTEP over Houston: the Cougars have been good to us so far, but their run needs to end now. And I mean right now because the game starts in 15 minutes.
America East Final
- Vermont over BU: likely won't matter too much, but I don't want to see a 24-win Vermont team just hanging out.
SEC Semis
- Vandy over Miss. St.: big game. Miss. St. is still on the bubble behind the Illini but could play themselves in with a victory here. Also, the farther Vandy goes, the better the Illini's victory over them looks to the committee.
- Kentucky over Tennessee: both teams are in. I'd like to see Kentucky win because they probably have a better shot at beating Miss. St. if they play in the final.
Atlantic 10 Semis
- Temple over RIU: one of the biggest games of the day. If RIU wins, and the Illini lose, the Rams may jump the Illini in tourney consideration.
- Xavier over Richmond: I guess we go with Xavier because I know them bettter, but we really just need the team most capable of beating RIU in a potential A 10 final matchup.
ACC Semis
- Duke over Miami: it pains me to root so strongly for the Dukies, but they're now the only palatable team that can win the ACC tournament.
- Ga. Tech over N.C. St: jaysus, this is gross. Lunardi now has the Yellow Jackets as a lock so I guess we go with them. I don't want to have to worry about the Wolfypack winning the ACC final tomorrow.
MEAC Final
- Morgan St. over S. Carolina St.: get r dun, 26-win Morgan St.!
MAC Final
- Akron over Ohio U.: get r dun, 24-win Akron!
Southland Final
- Sam Houston St. over Stephen F. Austin St.: get r dun, #1 seed Sammy Houston St.
Pac 10 Final
- Cal over Washington: we've said all along that Cal has to win the Pac 10 tourney. That hasn't changed. Lunardi has Washington "in" but behind the Illini. That obviously changes with a Husky W.
Mountain West Final
- UNLV over S.D. St.: effing Aztecs are likely in over the Illini as things currently stand, but if they lose here, and the Illini beat the Buckeyes, that order would likely reverse, even if the Illini then lose the Big 10 final. Get r dun, Lon!
WAC Final
- Utah St. over New Mexico St.: get r dun, 27-win Utah St.!
Games on.
Well, the Illini got it dun despite an absurd three-point barrage by the Badgers in the final minute. Not fun, but it's a W in the books, and that's what matters. The question is will that dubya be enough to get the Illini into the dance. I'm not so sure. There was some disappointing bubble action last night.
Perhaps most distressing was S.D. St's win over the Lobos. Lunardi now has the Aztecs in as a "lock," which tells me that if both the Illini and Aztecs lose today, S.D. St. will get the call before Illinois. Not good. Of course it also means the Aztecs are still in the hunt for an automatic bid if they beat UNLV tonight. Again, not good.
Also disappointing yesterday: RIU over SLU, Ga. Tech over Maryland, Miss. St. over Florida, N.C. St. over Florida St., and Washington over Stanford. Also, Miami beat Va. Tech which, depending on how far the Hurricanes take their run, could be a disaster, or not a bad thing.
Man. This is going down to the wire.
On to today's games …
Big Ten Semis
- Illini over Ohio St.: I think the Illini are a "lock" if they beat the Buckeyes, even if only 1 at-large bid is left on Sunday. If they don't get it dun - and that's likely because Ohio St. is a tough matchup for Illinois - then the Illini may still need help. So stressful.
- Purdue over Minnesota: Goodness gracious this game is huge. Lunardi has the Golden Gophers as his first team out. If they win today and the Illini lose, they may jump ahead of the Illini in the eyes of the selection committee.
Conference USA Final
- UTEP over Houston: the Cougars have been good to us so far, but their run needs to end now. And I mean right now because the game starts in 15 minutes.
America East Final
- Vermont over BU: likely won't matter too much, but I don't want to see a 24-win Vermont team just hanging out.
SEC Semis
- Vandy over Miss. St.: big game. Miss. St. is still on the bubble behind the Illini but could play themselves in with a victory here. Also, the farther Vandy goes, the better the Illini's victory over them looks to the committee.
- Kentucky over Tennessee: both teams are in. I'd like to see Kentucky win because they probably have a better shot at beating Miss. St. if they play in the final.
Atlantic 10 Semis
- Temple over RIU: one of the biggest games of the day. If RIU wins, and the Illini lose, the Rams may jump the Illini in tourney consideration.
- Xavier over Richmond: I guess we go with Xavier because I know them bettter, but we really just need the team most capable of beating RIU in a potential A 10 final matchup.
ACC Semis
- Duke over Miami: it pains me to root so strongly for the Dukies, but they're now the only palatable team that can win the ACC tournament.
- Ga. Tech over N.C. St: jaysus, this is gross. Lunardi now has the Yellow Jackets as a lock so I guess we go with them. I don't want to have to worry about the Wolfypack winning the ACC final tomorrow.
MEAC Final
- Morgan St. over S. Carolina St.: get r dun, 26-win Morgan St.!
MAC Final
- Akron over Ohio U.: get r dun, 24-win Akron!
Southland Final
- Sam Houston St. over Stephen F. Austin St.: get r dun, #1 seed Sammy Houston St.
Pac 10 Final
- Cal over Washington: we've said all along that Cal has to win the Pac 10 tourney. That hasn't changed. Lunardi has Washington "in" but behind the Illini. That obviously changes with a Husky W.
Mountain West Final
- UNLV over S.D. St.: effing Aztecs are likely in over the Illini as things currently stand, but if they lose here, and the Illini beat the Buckeyes, that order would likely reverse, even if the Illini then lose the Big 10 final. Get r dun, Lon!
WAC Final
- Utah St. over New Mexico St.: get r dun, 27-win Utah St.!
Games on.
Friday, March 12, 2010
Illini Bubble Watch: Day 3
First, a recap of yesterday's games ...
A couple huge wins sprinkled with a couple near misses, made yesterday a strong day overall. If Colorado St. had held on against the Aztecs, I wouldn't have much to complain about at all, and if Oregon St. hadn't blown it against the Huskies, darned if it wouldn't have been a perfect day.
Among the big wins yesterday: Houston over Memphis, Akron over E. Michigan, New Mexico over Air Force, Southern Miss over UAB, Tennessee over LSU, Cal over Oregon, K. St. over OK St., WVA over Cincy and, of course, Stanford over ASU. Huge that last one.
Among the bad losses were Ga. Tech over UNC, Minny over Penn St., Washington over Oregon St., the Aztecs over 'Rado St., Florida over Auburn, and N.C. St. over Clemson (double bad because one of the Illini's "marquee" victories this season was at Clemson). A sneaky bad loss was Ohio over Kent St. Kent St. is now sitting there with 23 wins. Dicey. Not real dicey, but dicey.
On to today's tilts ...
Obviously, a lot of this could be moot after the Illini game, though even if the Illini win, a little help by losses by other bubble teams wouldn't hurt. And even if the Illini lose I'm not giving up hope for a sneaky bid until Greg Gumbel reads off the last NCAA Tourney team Sunday afternoon.
Game of Games
- Illini over Wisconsin: uncharacteristically, I don't have a ton of confidence in the Illini today. Wisconsin is playing very well of late, and the Illini are not. Two teams headed in opposite directions. (but get r dun, Illini!)
Critical Games
- UTEP over Tulsa: need the Miners to go ahead and win out in the Connie USA.
- SLU over Rhode Island: one of the most critical games of the day. Rhody is sitting right on the bubble behind the Illini. Their resume must not be padded.
- Tennessee over Ole Miss: Ole Miss is another bubble team, currently listed as "in" by Lunardi. They could be competing with the Illini for a final bid. Send 'em home, fat coach at Tennessee!
- Xavier over Dayton: absurdly important game. The Flyers are right on the bubble and usually play well this time of year. Muy importante that they lose immediatemente.
- Houston over Southern Miss : Southern Miss did us well yesterday but they have 20 wins now, and that's a bit too many for my liking. Let's send them home and then root against the Cougars tomorrow.
- Maryland over Ga. Tech: Ga. Tech's win over UNC was upsetting. Lunardi has them "in" and they are a team the selection committee will likely have in the same bucket as the Illini.
- Florida over Miss. St.: Florida's likely in now so we have to root for them against another bubble team Lunardi currently has as "out." I hope all the Mississippi schools lose today.
- Morgan St. over Hampton: definitely would like to see Morg St. win the Mid-Eastern Tourney.
- Utah St. over La. Tech: as noted yesterday, Utah St. is now sitting at 26 wins. We need them to go ahead and win the WAC tourney.
- Michigan St. over Minnesota: don't like to see Tubby's boys hanging around. Big game.
- New Mexico over S.D. St.: this game is only slightly less critical than yesterday's. Maybe more critical. It's one or the other. Or both.
- Cal over UCLA: Cal must win the Pac 10 tourney!
- Stanford over Washington: need one more win from the Cardinal.
Want To See The Higher Seeds Win
- Temple over St. Bonny's: get r dun, ghost of John Chaney.
- Duke over Virginia : nothing good can come of a Duke upset. Other than laughing at the Duke fans, which, granted, is significant.
- Kentucky over Alabama: John Wall show. I hope.
- Va. Tech over Miami (or not?): tough game here actually. If Miami wins they'll have 20 wins and momentum. Va Tech is likely already in, but Lunardi does have them on the bubble. I think we go Va. Tech but its not entirely clear.
- Purdue over Northwestern: send the nerds home. Stat.
- Akron over W. Michigan: win the Mid-American tourney, Zips.
- G'town over Marquette: both teams are in but no reason for Marquette to continue to pad its resume.
- Richmond over UMass: Spider trap!
- Florida St. over N.C. St.: send the Wolfypack home. Immediately.
- Vandy over Georgia: that Georgia coach, formerly the Nevada coach, scares me. Get him home.
Game Where I Wouldn't Mind If Lower Seed Wins As Long As It's The Last Game They Win
- Michigan over Ohio St.: we can't have Michigan winning the Big Ten Tourney, but they are a better matchup for the Illini in the second round, if the Illini are lucky enough to make it there.
Games on.
A couple huge wins sprinkled with a couple near misses, made yesterday a strong day overall. If Colorado St. had held on against the Aztecs, I wouldn't have much to complain about at all, and if Oregon St. hadn't blown it against the Huskies, darned if it wouldn't have been a perfect day.
Among the big wins yesterday: Houston over Memphis, Akron over E. Michigan, New Mexico over Air Force, Southern Miss over UAB, Tennessee over LSU, Cal over Oregon, K. St. over OK St., WVA over Cincy and, of course, Stanford over ASU. Huge that last one.
Among the bad losses were Ga. Tech over UNC, Minny over Penn St., Washington over Oregon St., the Aztecs over 'Rado St., Florida over Auburn, and N.C. St. over Clemson (double bad because one of the Illini's "marquee" victories this season was at Clemson). A sneaky bad loss was Ohio over Kent St. Kent St. is now sitting there with 23 wins. Dicey. Not real dicey, but dicey.
On to today's tilts ...
Obviously, a lot of this could be moot after the Illini game, though even if the Illini win, a little help by losses by other bubble teams wouldn't hurt. And even if the Illini lose I'm not giving up hope for a sneaky bid until Greg Gumbel reads off the last NCAA Tourney team Sunday afternoon.
Game of Games
- Illini over Wisconsin: uncharacteristically, I don't have a ton of confidence in the Illini today. Wisconsin is playing very well of late, and the Illini are not. Two teams headed in opposite directions. (but get r dun, Illini!)
Critical Games
- UTEP over Tulsa: need the Miners to go ahead and win out in the Connie USA.
- SLU over Rhode Island: one of the most critical games of the day. Rhody is sitting right on the bubble behind the Illini. Their resume must not be padded.
- Tennessee over Ole Miss: Ole Miss is another bubble team, currently listed as "in" by Lunardi. They could be competing with the Illini for a final bid. Send 'em home, fat coach at Tennessee!
- Xavier over Dayton: absurdly important game. The Flyers are right on the bubble and usually play well this time of year. Muy importante that they lose immediatemente.
- Houston over Southern Miss : Southern Miss did us well yesterday but they have 20 wins now, and that's a bit too many for my liking. Let's send them home and then root against the Cougars tomorrow.
- Maryland over Ga. Tech: Ga. Tech's win over UNC was upsetting. Lunardi has them "in" and they are a team the selection committee will likely have in the same bucket as the Illini.
- Florida over Miss. St.: Florida's likely in now so we have to root for them against another bubble team Lunardi currently has as "out." I hope all the Mississippi schools lose today.
- Morgan St. over Hampton: definitely would like to see Morg St. win the Mid-Eastern Tourney.
- Utah St. over La. Tech: as noted yesterday, Utah St. is now sitting at 26 wins. We need them to go ahead and win the WAC tourney.
- Michigan St. over Minnesota: don't like to see Tubby's boys hanging around. Big game.
- New Mexico over S.D. St.: this game is only slightly less critical than yesterday's. Maybe more critical. It's one or the other. Or both.
- Cal over UCLA: Cal must win the Pac 10 tourney!
- Stanford over Washington: need one more win from the Cardinal.
Want To See The Higher Seeds Win
- Temple over St. Bonny's: get r dun, ghost of John Chaney.
- Duke over Virginia : nothing good can come of a Duke upset. Other than laughing at the Duke fans, which, granted, is significant.
- Kentucky over Alabama: John Wall show. I hope.
- Va. Tech over Miami (or not?): tough game here actually. If Miami wins they'll have 20 wins and momentum. Va Tech is likely already in, but Lunardi does have them on the bubble. I think we go Va. Tech but its not entirely clear.
- Purdue over Northwestern: send the nerds home. Stat.
- Akron over W. Michigan: win the Mid-American tourney, Zips.
- G'town over Marquette: both teams are in but no reason for Marquette to continue to pad its resume.
- Richmond over UMass: Spider trap!
- Florida St. over N.C. St.: send the Wolfypack home. Immediately.
- Vandy over Georgia: that Georgia coach, formerly the Nevada coach, scares me. Get him home.
Game Where I Wouldn't Mind If Lower Seed Wins As Long As It's The Last Game They Win
- Michigan over Ohio St.: we can't have Michigan winning the Big Ten Tourney, but they are a better matchup for the Illini in the second round, if the Illini are lucky enough to make it there.
Games on.
Thursday, March 11, 2010
Illini Bubble Watch: Day 2
First, a recap of yesterday …
Another up and down day. The big game - ND v. Seton Hall - came out swimmingly, as did G'town knocking out South Florida once and for all. That's two bubble teams who don't get in over the Illini under any circumstances, I think.
Morgan St. also took care of business in the Mid-Eastern Conference, and Marquette ended any chance of a magical run by St. John's. And lest we forget that our boys at Sammy Houston St. stuck it to those yumps at Nicholls St. Nice win, guys.
But that's really where the good news ends. The rest of the day - especially late night - got real dicey.
Cincy coming back and beating Louisville is a bit disturbing. Louisville is apparently now a bubble team, but I think they still get in over the Illini, especially if the Illini can't get it dun against Sconnie. More distressingly, what if Cincy makes a run now and wins the Big East? Unlikely, yes, but still a possibility. I want as few "possibilities" as possible. We'll be rooting heavy against 'Natti this evening.
Montana's upset win over Weber St. is also highly annoying. I don't think Weber St. has enough juice to get an automatic bid, but you never like to see a #1 seed from a non-BCS conference lose if you're a BCS bubble team.
Speaking of non-BCS #1 seeds losing, what happened to my boys at Jackson St. Upset by #8 seed Grambling St.? Oh my. Only one team is coming out of the SWAC - I'm almost certain - but now the committee has a 19-12, 17-1 Jackson St. just hanging out, begging for attention.
And finally, Robert Morris beat Quinnipiac. Probably doesn't matter but Quinnipiac did have 23 wins this season. Some jabrone committee member will probably mention them on Sunday.
On to today's games, where things are starting to get serious ...
The Most Critical
1. Cal over Oregon: HEAVY on the Golden Bears, and here's why: if any team other than Cal wins the Pac 10 tourney, the Illini are effed. Cal is the only Pac 10 team Lunardi has in as a lock. Long story short: Cal is one of our new favorite teams over the next couple of days.
2. Oregon St. over Washington: a big, big game. The Huskies are sitting right on the bubble, waiting to make a name for themselves. I don't trust that Lorenzo Romar. He tends to win some big games. Let's get him and his team o-u-t, out, out, out!
3. Southern Miss over UAB: monster game. UAB is in the same position as the Washingtons, Daytons and URIs of the world - they are currently "out" according to Lunardi but are looming right behind the Illini. They must be terminated with extreme prejudice.
4. Stanford over Arizona St.: ASU is also a bubble team, one of Lunardi's last 4 in. Needless to say we go heavy on the Cardinal.
5. Penn St. over Minnesota: Damn those Golden Gophers. They could be a major wrench in this operation. They are just good enough to be highly annoying, and are sitting right behind the Illini according to Lunardi. Tubby need go home.
6. Houston over Memphis: critical, critical game. Memphis is one of Lunardi's last 4 in. We need them to lose as early as possible in case it comes down to Memphis or Illinois for the last tourney spot.
7. Colorado St. over S.D. St.: this pains me to no end, but we gotta root against the Aztecs. Trust me, it's not easy … my Dad went there for awhile, T. Gwynn coaches their baseball team, I've coached their HD Wooden hoops team for 6 seasons … but all that doesn't overcome our allegiance to the Illini. S.D. St. is currently "in" according to Lunardi, but one of his last 4 in, right with the Illini. It very easily could come down to the Aztecs or the Illini on Sunday afternoon. Let's make the decision a bit easier for the committee and send Stevie Fisher's boys home … stat.
8. Auburn over Florida: Lunardi has Florida in, but I'm not certain. I'd like to see an Auburn win today, followed by an Auburn loss tomorrow.
9. North Carolina over Ga. Tech: we arrive at a tough decision. On the one hand, Ga. Tech is a bubble squad that are competing with the Illini for a final spot in the bracket. On the other hand, UNC is capable of a run and blowing up the whole ACC tournament. For now we have to play the odds and hope UNC isn't going to run the table, and lock in the value of a Ga. Tech loss.
10. West Virginia over Cincinnati: embarrass them, Huggins. Embarrass them.
Games to watch with a careful eye
1. Utah St. over Boise St.: I think only one team from the WAC gets in, but I don't want #1 seed Utah St. losing. They have 25 wins and could look tempting to some granola dude on the selection committee.
2. Tulsa over Marshall: I wonder if one of these teams could play themselves in to the tourney with an extended run in the Conference USA tourney. I don't want to find out. Whoever wins this game needs to lose their next game.
Secondary Importance
- Kansas over Texas Tech: let's start eliminating any mediocre teams now before they can go on runs
- Texas A&M over Nebraska: get the Cornhuskers out … immediately.
- Villanova over Marquette: apparently Marquette is already solidly in, but we might as well cheer on 'Nova just in case.
- Wake Forest over Miami: Lunardi has Wake in as a lock, so let's get the Hurricanes out early.
- New Mexico over Air Force: another lock over a team that's not getting in unless they win the Big West. No brainer.
- Michigan over Iowa: I think Michigan has a better chance to beat Ohio St. in the second round, setting up a potential easier third round game for the Illini. Dicey to think in those terms, but nonetheless that's the position the Illini have put us in. For the record, I'm not looking past Sconnie. I'm just surmising some stuff.
- Tennessee over LSU: get r dun, fat coach at Tennessee!
- Indiana over Northwestern: The Wildcats have played well in stretches this season and at one point were considered a potential automatic bid team. They reek of Cinderella potential. Crean must rile up the Hoosier mystique and take care o' business, Jimmy Chitwood-style.
- Kansas St. over Oklahoma St.: the Cowbioys look like they're in, but no reason to further pad their resume. We are hanging with Mitch Richmond and rooting for K. St.!
- Kent St. over Ohio: get r dun, higher seed!
- Stephen F. Austin over TAMU Corpus Christi: higher seed, get it dun.
- BYU over TCU: lock over no-chancer … no brainer.
- Clemson over N.C. St: you never like to see the Wolfpack hanging around.
- Sam Houston St. over SE Louisiana: might as well stay on the Sammy Houston Express.
- UTEP over UCF: UTEP is the #1 seed in Conference USA. They need to take care o' their shyte.
- UNLV over Utah: Lunardi has UNLV as a lock and you never want to see Utah hanging around. Lon, do what you do.
Games on.
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Illini Bubble Watch
How goes the Illini bubble, you ask?
Let's take a look.
Last night's win by Butler to clinch the Horizon League's automatic bid was huge, as was St. John's win over UConn, but wins by Seton Hall, Rhode Island and Dayton - all bubble teams like the Illini - didn't help the Illini's chances.
Today has gone fairly well with nice wins by Georgetown and Marquette to eliminate Cinderella-minded South Florida and St. John's, respectively. But Nebraska beat Missouri so the Cornhuskers loom as a potential dagger Cinderella. They don't have a great chance to run the Big 12 table, but I don't like to see them looming.
Speaking of looming, more important games loom tonight. First, and most critical, is the Notre Dame-Seton Hall tilt, tipping off in about 30 minutes from the Garden. Lunardi has the Irish in and Seton Hall on the bubble, so the Illini would benefit from a Seton Hall loss. The more wins Seton Hall racks up, the more tantalizing they look to the selection committee for the last automatic tourney bid, the same spot the Illini covet.
Also helpful tonight would be wins by Morgan St., Sam Houston St., Louisville, Weber St., Quinnipiac and Jackson St. None of these wins are critical to the Illini's tournament chances, but they sure wouldn't hurt.
Games on.
Let's take a look.
Last night's win by Butler to clinch the Horizon League's automatic bid was huge, as was St. John's win over UConn, but wins by Seton Hall, Rhode Island and Dayton - all bubble teams like the Illini - didn't help the Illini's chances.
Today has gone fairly well with nice wins by Georgetown and Marquette to eliminate Cinderella-minded South Florida and St. John's, respectively. But Nebraska beat Missouri so the Cornhuskers loom as a potential dagger Cinderella. They don't have a great chance to run the Big 12 table, but I don't like to see them looming.
Speaking of looming, more important games loom tonight. First, and most critical, is the Notre Dame-Seton Hall tilt, tipping off in about 30 minutes from the Garden. Lunardi has the Irish in and Seton Hall on the bubble, so the Illini would benefit from a Seton Hall loss. The more wins Seton Hall racks up, the more tantalizing they look to the selection committee for the last automatic tourney bid, the same spot the Illini covet.
Also helpful tonight would be wins by Morgan St., Sam Houston St., Louisville, Weber St., Quinnipiac and Jackson St. None of these wins are critical to the Illini's tournament chances, but they sure wouldn't hurt.
Games on.
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Cardinal Sins Of The 2009-10 Illini
In discussing the NCAA Tournament chances of various bubble teams with my advisors this morning, I came to the following conclusion:
I can really only speak to the Illini, who made two cardinal sins this season:
1. they lost to Utah and Bradley in Vegas over Thanksgiving; and
2. needing one more win over the last three weeks of the season, they were blown out three times at home to OSU, Wiscy and Minny.
They don't deserve any favors for that performance.
Oh man, the Illini need to win against Wisconsin on Friday.
I can really only speak to the Illini, who made two cardinal sins this season:
1. they lost to Utah and Bradley in Vegas over Thanksgiving; and
2. needing one more win over the last three weeks of the season, they were blown out three times at home to OSU, Wiscy and Minny.
They don't deserve any favors for that performance.
Oh man, the Illini need to win against Wisconsin on Friday.
Labels:
Bradley,
Bruce Weber,
Illini Hoop,
Minnesota,
NCAA Tournament,
Ohio St.,
Utah,
Wisconsin
Sunday, March 7, 2010
The Illini Need Another Win
Hey Bill Cole,
How about leading the Illini to a win over Wisconsin today?
You know, Peoria Richwoods style.
Best,
Bevormo
How about leading the Illini to a win over Wisconsin today?
You know, Peoria Richwoods style.
Best,
Bevormo
Friday, March 5, 2010
Latos, LeBlanc, Gallagher, Poreda & Italiano LLP
Mat Latos led a bevy of the Padres young pitchers in a solid set of outings this afternoon, paving the way for a 9-3 Drino beatdown of the M's.
I know Chase, Kyle and Aaron Cunningham all had good days with the bat, but what really caught my eye - or ear, in this case, because I was listening to Ted Leitner and Jerry Coleman on the radio broadcast - was the solid pitching of Latos, Wade LeBlanc, Sean Gallagher, Aaron Poreda and Craig Italiano.
Latos had some good stuff early on, a walk to Griffey his only real mistake over 2 full innings. Wade had a little trouble in his two innings, though that was partly the fault of a Chase Headley error at third base. According to Leitner, Wade's stuff looked good.
The last three guys though really sounded impressive. The combined line for Gallagher, Poreda and Craigers Italiano this afternoon was 6 IP, 0 hits, 0 runs, 3 walks and 3 Ks. Aaron Poreda was particularly impressive in that he had all 3 Ks.
All three of those guys are key swing prospects for the Padres. If all three swing to side of good - meaning become beast pitchers - then the Drinos will have a sick amount of depth on their pitching staff.
Today was a good sign.
Thursday, March 4, 2010
Big Jamal ... Such A Monster (and Sproles is likely back!)
The Chargers released Jamal Williams today, ending more than a decade of pure beastliness by the big guy on the Bolts defensive line.
Jamal joined the Bolts for the 1998 season. To put that in perspective, that was before the Padres last trip to the World Series.
I mean Jamal joined the Chargers at the same time as Ryan Leaf. Not to mention before LT and Drew Brees, and way before Philip Rivers and Shawne Merriman.
Looking over at Pro-Football Reference.com at some players who had careers of similar quality and shape to Jamal, a few beastly names jump out at me. Names like Gary Johnson, Marcus Stroud, Rulon Jones, Gary Larsen, Dwight White and Louie Kelcher.
Talk about a group of guys you'd like to have on your side in a vicious cockfight.
Man, I'm really going to miss Jamal.
But on the brighter side of life, it looks like Sproles will be back for another year.
Get r dun, A.J.!
Jamal joined the Bolts for the 1998 season. To put that in perspective, that was before the Padres last trip to the World Series.
I mean Jamal joined the Chargers at the same time as Ryan Leaf. Not to mention before LT and Drew Brees, and way before Philip Rivers and Shawne Merriman.
Looking over at Pro-Football Reference.com at some players who had careers of similar quality and shape to Jamal, a few beastly names jump out at me. Names like Gary Johnson, Marcus Stroud, Rulon Jones, Gary Larsen, Dwight White and Louie Kelcher.
Talk about a group of guys you'd like to have on your side in a vicious cockfight.
Man, I'm really going to miss Jamal.
But on the brighter side of life, it looks like Sproles will be back for another year.
Get r dun, A.J.!
Wednesday, March 3, 2010
Illinois Loss To OSU Isn't A Good Thing
Yeah kid, that's how I felt after the Illini loss to Ohio St. last night.
Sconnie game this weekend is a must win.
Sconnie game this weekend is a must win.
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
Evan Turner Must Be Stopped, And I Know Just The Team To Do It
I don't know how he's going to do it, but Bruce Weber must find a way to stop Evan Turner tonight.
Last year, I'd say that Bruce should just dial up some Chester Frazier action and call it a night. But this year? Yikes. I don't know what to do.
D.J. Richardson is probably the team's best perimeter defender, but he's only a freshman. Demetri McCamey is Turner's peer in many ways - most notably because the two were high school teammates - but I'll be darned if he can D up Evan for 40 minutes.
What about the Richwoods beast, Billy Cole? I don't see it happening.
Maybe Weber goes all postmodern tonight and lets Evan get his points and rebounds, but has Mike Tisdale, Mike Davis and the rest of the boys lock down the Dieblers, the Bufords, the Lightys and the Lauderdales of the world. Easier said than done, no doubt, but still perhaps a more manageable task than shutting down the probable National Player of the Year.
Whatever will be, will be. The Illini need this game. Badly.
Game on tonight at 9 PM EST.
Last year, I'd say that Bruce should just dial up some Chester Frazier action and call it a night. But this year? Yikes. I don't know what to do.
D.J. Richardson is probably the team's best perimeter defender, but he's only a freshman. Demetri McCamey is Turner's peer in many ways - most notably because the two were high school teammates - but I'll be darned if he can D up Evan for 40 minutes.
What about the Richwoods beast, Billy Cole? I don't see it happening.
Maybe Weber goes all postmodern tonight and lets Evan get his points and rebounds, but has Mike Tisdale, Mike Davis and the rest of the boys lock down the Dieblers, the Bufords, the Lightys and the Lauderdales of the world. Easier said than done, no doubt, but still perhaps a more manageable task than shutting down the probable National Player of the Year.
Whatever will be, will be. The Illini need this game. Badly.
Game on tonight at 9 PM EST.
Monday, March 1, 2010
Whither The Illini?
After back-to-back home losses to Ohio St. and Minnesota, a competitive road loss to Purdue, and an ugly road victory against lowly Michigan, the Illini may well find themselves in a similar position to the girl in the above photo, which is to say on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament.
So what happened in that four-game stretch the Illini played from February 14-27?
To wit,
February 14 - hosting the Buckeyes: a pure beatdown by the red-hot Buckeyes from start to finish;
February 20 - at the Boilermakers: a good, competitive game, the Illini just couldn't hit the big shots down the stretch;
February 23 - at the Wolverines: an ugly-fest in which Michigan just played worse than the Illini; and
February 27 - hosting the Golden Gophers: an inspired second-half led by Peoria Richwoods-grad Bill Cole couldn't make up for absolute ice-cold shooting and lack of defensive intensity in the first half.
And now the Illini stand at 18-11, 10-6, good for 5th place in the Big Ten. Joe Lunardi has the Illini as a #10 seed in his latest Bracketology, but most pundits believe the Illini need to win at least one more game (at Ohio St., home against Wisconsin, or a first-round Big Ten tourney game against, most likely, Wisconsin) to secure an NCAA Tournament bid.
It's time for McCamey, Cole and the boys to gather up their britches and bring a little Illini pain to Columbus tomorrow night.
Let's get this dun, Illini!
So what happened in that four-game stretch the Illini played from February 14-27?
To wit,
February 14 - hosting the Buckeyes: a pure beatdown by the red-hot Buckeyes from start to finish;
February 20 - at the Boilermakers: a good, competitive game, the Illini just couldn't hit the big shots down the stretch;
February 23 - at the Wolverines: an ugly-fest in which Michigan just played worse than the Illini; and
February 27 - hosting the Golden Gophers: an inspired second-half led by Peoria Richwoods-grad Bill Cole couldn't make up for absolute ice-cold shooting and lack of defensive intensity in the first half.
And now the Illini stand at 18-11, 10-6, good for 5th place in the Big Ten. Joe Lunardi has the Illini as a #10 seed in his latest Bracketology, but most pundits believe the Illini need to win at least one more game (at Ohio St., home against Wisconsin, or a first-round Big Ten tourney game against, most likely, Wisconsin) to secure an NCAA Tournament bid.
It's time for McCamey, Cole and the boys to gather up their britches and bring a little Illini pain to Columbus tomorrow night.
Let's get this dun, Illini!
Labels:
Bruce Weber,
Illini Hoop,
Michigan,
Minnesota,
NCAA Tournament,
Ohio St.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)